List of Flash News about TIPS breakevens
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16:42 |
U.S. CPI ‘Coiling Up’? 5 Data Signals Traders Use to Position Bitcoin (BTC) and Risk Assets
According to @rovercrc, U.S. inflation may be coiling up, putting CPI risk back in focus for crypto positioning, source: @rovercrc on X. The CPI and Core CPI prints that anchor inflation trading are released monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, and their schedule and component weights guide market expectations, source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The Federal Reserve’s longer-run goal is 2% inflation as measured by PCE, so persistent inflation pressures raise the likelihood of restrictive policy for longer, which is central to risk management for BTC exposure, source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Ahead of CPI, traders track TIPS breakevens, real yields, and CME FedWatch rate probabilities to gauge the rates and dollar impulse that can transmit into crypto volatility, source: U.S. Department of the Treasury; Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED); CME Group. Macro announcement surprises are documented to move asset prices and intraday volatility, reinforcing the case for event-risk controls around CPI time for crypto trades, source: Federal Reserve research on macroeconomic announcements and asset prices. |